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A group of data released by the housing and construction department is shocking: the number of urban and rural housing buildings in the country has reached 600 million! Note that it is 600 million buildings, not 600 million sets, nor 600 million rooms! The name of this work is: National Comprehensive Risk Survey of Natural Disasters.
Unfortunately, half of China’s housing has been built in county and rural areas.
The population living in the “Seoul Metropolitan Area” in South Korea is equivalent to 50.2% of the total population.
However, housing in first-tier and second-tier cities is relatively scarce.
The data of the above 600 million buildings covers the 200 million self-built houses.
Petersburg.
That is to say, in the future, China’s rural, county and even third-tier and fourth-tier cities will have more housing than they need.
The above 600 million urban and rural housing construction data are the statistical data under the full scope of “disaster prevention”.
That is to say, under the satellite image, as long as the houses are within the statistical range! Even public toilets are within its statistical range.
The seventh general survey shows that the average residential area in Shenyang has reached 36.13 square meters, and the average household area is about 79.38 square meters (about 3.54 million units).
This represents the market improvement potential in the future.
The survey covered 100% of China’s cities and 100% of natural villages.
Because the luminous picture below can prove it.
In fact, Baoge is also lucky to participate in this work.
Among them, the per capita housing construction area of rural households is 46.8 square meters, and that of urban and town households is 36.52 square meters and 42.29 square meters respectively.
In fact, Japan=Tokyo Metropolitan Area; 6500W population in the UK, UK=London Metropolitan Area; France has a population of 6700W, France=Paris Metropolitan Area; Russia has a population of 140 million, Russia=Moscow+St.
It is not just the data of commercial housing.
For example, if there is a city management office in an area, the buildings and warehouses of the city management office are independent buildings.
This data shocked many people: there is a real surplus of houses! Some people even expressed the feeling that “the era of house cabbage price is coming”.
The value of land depends on the capital thrown into the land.
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Let’s take a look at Japan, with a population of 110 million.
To share the hometown of Shenyang, welcome to add the group leader Wu Hua to join the convenient group of thousands of people in Shenyang: qunzhuwuhua006 Warm tip: due to the change of official account push rules and lack of interaction, information will not be received in time.
Even the guard room and some illegal buildings in the community are independent buildings.
South Korea covers an area of 100000 square kilometers, equivalent to China’s Zhejiang Province, with a total population of 5100W, of which Seoul+Incheon+Gyeonggi-do population=2600W.
Specifically, it includes: self-built houses in rural areas (warehouses, warehouses, etc.), mining houses in enterprises and institutions, commercial houses, and public houses.
The second, third and fourth echelons may have some changes, such as Chongqing vs Chengdu, Tianjin vs Wuhan and Suzhou.
02 The first echelon of the differentiation between the first-tier and second-tier cities and the third-tier and fourth-tier cities: Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou; The second echelon: Hangzhou, South, Tianjin and Chongqing; The third tier: Zhengzhou, Wuhan, Chengdu, Suzhou, Hefei, Changsha; The fourth echelon: Xi’an, Kunming, Shenyang, Qingdao, Fuzhou, Ningbo.
Urban differentiation: 01 The differentiation between the industrial era and the agricultural society.
In other words, our property surplus mainly occurs in county towns, and there is still a gap in housing in big cities.
Don’t forget that our population base is large.
But it won’t change much.
In fact, the per capita housing area of the garden community in Shenyang is only about 13.37 square meters, with 29.15 square meters per household.
If there are four family members in each house on average, in terms of the total number, it is no problem to load the entire population.
In the future, some cities will be Shenzhen, while others will be Hegang.
This is the inevitable result of the transformation from an agricultural society to an industrial society.
According to the data provided by the housing and construction department in January 2022, there are more than 500000 administrative villages across the country, and more than 200 million farmers have built their own houses.
The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development launched the housing census under the “disaster coverage” three years ago, with a total of 5 million people mobilized for three years.
Therefore, the data of 600 million urban and rural houses alone has no obvious guiding significance for the real estate market.
Because China’s real estate is a structural problem, not an overall scale problem, and there is no shortage of houses in general, but urbanization will continue in the future, and about 300 million farmers will face entering cities.
This is not a special case, but a universal phenomenon in the world.
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You may ask whether China really needs so many metropolitan areas.
The data released by the China Census Yearbook 2020 is that as of November 1, 2020, the per capita housing construction area of Chinese households has reached 41.76 square meters.
“Seoul Metropolitan Circle”, a city has 50% of the population and 60% of GDP of South Korea.
Therefore, in this period, the houses in Shenzhen will be 20 million yuan, and the houses in Hegang will be 20000 yuan, a difference of times.
During the investigation, 600 million buildings in the country were also given “digital ID cards”.
In a big family, whoever is in charge of the key and the title deed is the head of the family.
We also have another set of relevant data.
At that time, the GDP growth rate was less than 1%, so it was difficult to generate wealth differentiation.
Let’s analyze our neighbor: South Korea.
However, industrial transformation has changed everything, and land is no longer a single dimension value of agricultural appendage.
In agricultural society, the value of land is balanced, and the yield of each mu of land is basically the same.
There are a total of 380 million houses in stock nationwide, with a total market value of about 480 trillion yuan.
In fact, the above two sets of data do not explain the problem of the real estate market.
No matter how the future evolves, it is probably these cities that have markets.
